"The law of unintended consequences is in danger of taking the upper hand. “The two sides may thus be stumbling blindly into severe crisis instability and growing competition by China with respect to strategic forces,” Lewis argues. “A competition between unevenly matched forces is inherently unstable.”"
"A new generation of Chinese intercontinental ballistic missiles may come into service as early as this year and will herald a period of rapid nuclear build-up by China, according to experts. With a 14,500km estimated range, the DF-41 is the first Chinese missile capable of carrying multiple warheads that can strike any part of the US from anywhere in China."
"The department's main mission is to plan, coordinate and enact "non-war" overseas action, such as peacekeeping missions, evacuations and joint drills"
"The United States official said the Chinese appeared to have deployed HQ-9 missile batteries on Woody Island in the Paracel chain."
[South China Morning Post] China Vows Military Reform by 2020, with plans for new anti-corruption watchdog in PLA. 11/27/15
"guidelines indicated Xi’s determination to use the overhaul to achieve his political aims."
"the first permanent presence overseas for China’s military and a sign of the growing reach of its navy...Announcing that China was in talks to build what it called a “logistical facility” in Djibouti, the Foreign Ministry said that the installation would serve to resupply Chinese Navy ships that had been participating in United Nations antipiracy missions in the Gulf of Aden since 2008."
By Thomas Christensen, Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University. Also a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs.
"The U.S. has ways to reduce a threat posed by China’s ability to wage asymmetric warfare. But a future U.S. president might be reluctant to use some of the more effective methods the American military has at its disposal"
"No U.S. president has ever launched robust conventional attacks against the homeland of a nation with nuclear retaliatory capability."
"If the U.S. were to attack missile systems and submarines for the purpose of protecting against conventional attack early in a conflict, Washington could unintentionally compromise portions of China’s nuclear arsenal as well. Chinese leaders could mistakenly view this as an attempt to eliminate China’s nuclear deterrent, risking escalation."
"a combination of U.S. power and resolve on the one hand, and diplomatic assurances on the other, can calm potentially volatile situations involving emotional sovereignty claims and a rising China."
By Thomas Christensen, Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, and a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs.
"Measures of the overall balance of power between two countries are most relevant when considering wars of survival, such as World War I and World War II. But most international security politics involves coercive diplomacy and limited military engagements short of full-scale war. In such struggles, geography, politics, psychology and perceptions can play an even more important role than the military balances of power"
"Transposed to the offshore realm, active defense means sniping at U.S. Pacific Fleet reinforcements steaming to the relief of Japan, Taiwan, or some other beleaguered ally during a conflict. U.S. Pacific Fleet expeditionary forces would arrive in the theater battered and overextended.
Luring U.S. Navy expeditionary forces in deep while pummeling them with missiles and torpedoes would help even the force balance. Active defense would grant PLA commanders some prospect for victory should a major fleet action transpire off Asian coasts."
"Chinese admiral Sun Jianguo told a gathering of military experts in Singapore — known as the annual Shangri-La Dialogue — that the islands were aimed at providing “international public services”
" (Rory Medcalf) “The island-building is actually quite provocative, but the difference is that it puts the burden of risk on other countries. In any incident that occurs, China will be able to say, ‘You started it; proximate cause of this was you.’ It’s a clever strategy and it leaves the rest of the region with no risk-free options.”"
An archive of news and resources on East Asian security. Rather than adhering to a particular political agenda, this archive aims to bring together diverse and insightful resources found while conducting research.